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The Belt and Road Initiative: Implications for Businesses in China

Sep 29, 2025

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by

EXED ASIA
in China, Industry Trends and Insights, Leadership and Management

The Belt and Road Initiative continues to reconfigure trade routes, investment flows and infrastructure priorities across Eurasia, Africa and beyond, creating both significant opportunities and complex risks for Chinese companies. This article provides an expanded, practical guide on how firms can plan, execute and sustain projects under the BRI framework.

Table of Contents

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  • Key Takeaways
  • Understanding the Belt and Road Initiative and its strategic scope
  • Project lifecycle: phases companies must plan for
    • Development and feasibility
    • Finance and contracting
    • Construction and commissioning
    • Operations, maintenance and asset management
    • Exit and legacy planning
  • Opportunities in infrastructure and industrial cooperation
    • High-demand project types
    • Commercial models that create recurring value
  • Trade, supply chains and regional value chains
    • Nearshoring and co-location strategies
    • Supplier diversification and contract strategies
  • Financing architecture and instruments
    • Key financing vehicles
    • Practical financing tips
  • Legal frameworks, contracts and dispute resolution
    • Key contractual provisions
    • Dispute resolution strategies
  • Tax, repatriation and financial controls
    • Key financial controls
  • Regulatory, political and sovereign risk management
    • Tools for political-risk mitigation
  • ESG, social licence and environmental compliance
    • Practical ESG measures
    • Access to green finance
  • Digitalisation, cybersecurity and the Digital Silk Road
    • Compliance and technical safeguards
    • Commercial approaches
  • Local capacity building and technology transfer
    • Practical mechanisms for transfer
  • Operational excellence, supply-chain resilience and digital project controls
    • Tools and techniques
  • Organisational and cultural intelligence
    • Practical cultural strategies
  • Sector-specific considerations and illustrative approaches
    • Transport and logistics
    • Energy and renewables
    • Industrial parks and manufacturing
  • Dispute-avoidance and governance mechanisms
    • Governance best practices
  • Scenario planning and stress testing
    • War-gaming and contingency planning
  • Performance measurement and dashboards
    • Recommended KPIs
  • Strategies adapted by different types of firms (extended guidance)
    • Large state-owned and listed companies
    • Private mid-sized firms
    • Small and medium enterprises (SMEs)
  • Engagement with multilateral lenders and host governments
    • How to engage effectively
  • Practical, tactical checklist for executives
  • Metrics, reporting and investor communication
    • Investor-focused disclosures
  • Scenario: a practical illustration (hypothetical)
  • Future trends to monitor and strategic implications
    • Green transformation and climate finance
    • Data governance and sovereign digital strategies
    • Regional economic integration
    • Localisation and shared value
  • Questions for executives and boards to consider

Key Takeaways

  • Strategic project selection: Choose markets and projects based on risk-adjusted returns and local feasibility, not prestige alone.
  • End-to-end planning: Manage the full project lifecycle—from development and finance to operations and exit—to protect value and performance.
  • Risk mitigation and governance: Use structured finance, political-risk insurance, strong contracts and transparent governance to reduce exposures.
  • ESG and local engagement: Embed environmental, social and capacity-building measures early to improve bankability and community acceptance.
  • Digital and operational excellence: Adopt digital project controls, cyber-compliance and modular construction to increase efficiency and resilience.

Understanding the Belt and Road Initiative and its strategic scope

The Belt and Road Initiative is a comprehensive development and connectivity strategy launched by China in 2013 to improve regional infrastructure, trade and economic cooperation through overland corridors (the “Belt”) and maritime routes (the “Road”).

Beyond hard infrastructure, the initiative increasingly encompasses digital links, energy transition, industrial cooperation and services, making it a multi-sector platform where policy support, financing and cross-border commercial strategies intersect.

For business leaders, the BRI represents a policy environment that channels diplomatic facilitation, concessional finance and project pipelines, but it also demands adaptation to complex local legal, social and political conditions in host countries.

Project lifecycle: phases companies must plan for

Successful BRI engagement requires an end-to-end view of the project lifecycle, from early development through long-term operations. Breaking the lifecycle into phases helps allocate resources, identify risks and set performance metrics.

Development and feasibility

During the development phase, firms should conduct market studies, demand forecasting and technical feasibility analyses, and identify potential financing sources. Early-stage activities often include land acquisition feasibility, environmental screening and stakeholder mapping.

Finance and contracting

In the finance phase, sponsors finalise funding arrangements—mixing equity, commercial loans, concessional credit and guarantees—and negotiate project contracts, such as EPC agreements, operation and maintenance (O&M) contracts, and concession arrangements for public-private partnerships.

Construction and commissioning

Construction is the most execution-intensive phase and demands robust project controls, procurement strategies, quality assurance and health-and-safety systems. Commissioning requires compliance testing and handover processes to the operator.

Operations, maintenance and asset management

In the operation phase, performance management, O&M contracts, tariff regimes and service-level agreements determine revenue stability. Firms that plan for lifecycle maintenance and upgrades can extend asset value and attract refinancing or sale opportunities.

Exit and legacy planning

Exit strategies—whether divestment, handover to host governments, or long-term ownership—should be defined before project launch. Exit planning includes repatriation mechanisms, tax considerations and transfer of technical knowledge to local partners.

Opportunities in infrastructure and industrial cooperation

Infrastructure remains a primary channel for BRI activity, but savvy firms should view projects as platforms for wider commercial ecosystems—industrial parks, logistics corridors and service clusters—that generate recurring revenue.

High-demand project types

  • Transport corridors: multimodal links (rail, road, port) that reduce transit times and enable higher trade volumes.

  • Energy projects: power generation, transmission, interconnectors and renewable installations supporting grid modernisation.

  • Industrial parks and special economic zones: integrated facilities that attract manufacturing, logistics and services through fiscal incentives and shared utilities.

  • Urban infrastructure: municipal services such as water, sanitation and waste management that are essential to urbanisation trends in partner countries.

  • Digital infrastructure: fiber backbones, data centres and smart-city platforms forming the Digital Silk Road component.

Commercial models that create recurring value

Firms should look beyond one-off construction revenue to business models that deliver recurring income, such as toll concessions, port operating contracts, utilities management and platform services in logistics or digital commerce.

Trade, supply chains and regional value chains

The BRI alters logistics economics and enables the design of regional value chains that balance efficiency with resilience. Strategic decisions around sourcing, production location and distribution can apply to manufacturing exporters, suppliers and logistics operators.

Nearshoring and co-location strategies

Improved connectivity encourages manufacturers to consider nearshoring—moving production closer to target markets—which can reduce lead times and exposure to global transport shocks while also meeting local content rules.

Supplier diversification and contract strategies

Strategic sourcing from multiple regional suppliers can mitigate single-country risk. Contracts should include clauses on force majeure, delivery assurance, quality standards and dispute escalation to manage cross-border supplier risk.

Financing architecture and instruments

Understanding the finance landscape is crucial. Chinese firms often combine policy-backed lending, commercial bank loans, export credit and equity to structure deals that match a project’s risk-return profile.

Key financing vehicles

  • Export credit and concessional loans that reduce upfront costs for host governments and make projects bankable.

  • Project finance where non-recourse loans are secured against project cash flows and assets, allocating risk among sponsors and lenders.

  • Equity partnerships with host-country investors or private financiers to share operational upside and political risk.

  • Green finance instruments—green bonds, sustainability-linked loans—that reward environmental performance and can lower the cost of capital.

Practical financing tips

Firms should align financing tenor with asset life, build currency-matching strategies, and consider credit enhancement tools, including multilateral guarantees and political-risk insurance, to attract commercial lenders.

Legal frameworks, contracts and dispute resolution

Legal clarity is a determinant of project success. Firms should negotiate contract terms that balance risk and provide clear mechanisms for change management, force majeure, and dispute resolution.

Key contractual provisions

  • Performance guarantees and liquidated damages to secure construction quality and timelines.

  • Change-order processes that define how scope changes are priced and approved.

  • Escrow and payment security mechanisms to protect contractor cash flow.

  • Termination clauses that set terms for early exit and compensation.

Dispute resolution strategies

Parties commonly prefer international arbitration (e.g., ICC, CIETAC or UNCITRAL rules) for cross-border disputes, and should pre-agree on seat of arbitration, governing law and interim relief measures. Early dispute-avoidance processes—such as dispute review boards—can preserve relationships and reduce costs.

Tax, repatriation and financial controls

Taxation and foreign-exchange rules affect project returns and repatriation strategies. Firms must plan for transfer pricing, withholding taxes, VAT regimes and profit repatriation limits in host countries.

Key financial controls

  • Tax structuring aligned with double-taxation treaties and local tax incentives to optimise after-tax returns.

  • Cash-pooling and currency hedging to manage FX exposures that arise from revenue in local currencies versus costs in foreign currencies.

  • Internal controls for receivables, supplier payment authorisations and transparent accounting that meet international audit standards.

Regulatory, political and sovereign risk management

Political risk can be managed with a combination of intelligence, insurance and structural protections in contracts. Firms that underestimate political shifts may face renegotiations, expropriation risk or contract suspension.

Tools for political-risk mitigation

  • Political-risk insurance (including multilateral guarantors) that covers expropriation, currency inconvertibility and political violence.

  • Sovereign-risk analysis using macro indicators, debt profiles and fiscal health to assess counterparty risk.

  • Stakeholder diplomacy through proactive engagement with central and local government officials to manage expectations and secure commitment.

ESG, social licence and environmental compliance

Environmental and social considerations are now central to project approval and financing. Lenders increasingly require environmental and social due diligence and grievance mechanisms as a condition of funding.

Practical ESG measures

  • Comprehensive environmental impact assessments and mitigation plans that address biodiversity, emissions, water use and soil stability.

  • Community engagement and grievance mechanisms that are accessible, transparent and responsive to local populations.

  • Labour and safety standards aligned with international conventions to protect workers and reduce reputational risk.

  • Carbon accounting and net-zero alignment where feasible, including energy-efficiency design and integration of renewable energy sources.

Access to green finance

Projects with credible ESG credentials are more likely to attract green bonds, sustainability-linked loans and concessional climate finance, which can reduce long-term funding costs and increase investor interest.

Digitalisation, cybersecurity and the Digital Silk Road

Digital infrastructure projects provide commercial opportunities but also carry unique regulatory and security requirements. Data sovereignty, cross-border flows and cybersecurity frameworks differ widely among host countries.

Compliance and technical safeguards

Chinese technology firms should prepare for:

  • Data-protection laws that may require data localisation, consent mechanisms and strict cross-border transfer protocols.

  • Cybersecurity audits and penetration testing to meet host-country standards and reassure public-sector clients.

  • Service-level agreements with clear uptime, latency and backup provisions to protect mission-critical services.

Commercial approaches

Partnering with recognised local system integrators, offering capacity-building for local IT talent, and structuring software-as-a-service (SaaS) models that include compliance modules can make digital bids more competitive.

Local capacity building and technology transfer

Host-country governments frequently ask for capacity building and technology transfer as part of procurement criteria. Firms that integrate skills training and supplier development into project plans can secure stronger social licence and long-term market access.

Practical mechanisms for transfer

  • On-the-job training programs for local engineers and technicians coupled with certification pathways.

  • Supplier development initiatives to upgrade local vendor quality and integrate them into the supply chain.

  • Local R&D partnerships with universities or vocational institutes to adapt technologies to local conditions.

Operational excellence, supply-chain resilience and digital project controls

Operational risk can be managed through investment in systems and human capital that maintain quality, speed and safety during construction and operations.

Tools and techniques

  • Digital project-management platforms that provide real-time monitoring of schedules, budgets and supply chains.

  • Modular or prefabricated construction to reduce on-site time and improve quality control.

  • Redundant logistics plans and multi-sourcing strategies to mitigate transport disruptions.

  • Local training academies that create a pipeline of certified technicians and managers for long-term operations.

Organisational and cultural intelligence

Success in BRI markets often depends on cultural fluency and local relationship-building. Effective intercultural engagement supports negotiation, workforce management and community relations.

Practical cultural strategies

  • Local leadership: appointing country managers with deep local networks and language skills to lead stakeholder engagement.

  • Cross-cultural training for expatriates to improve negotiation outcomes and reduce misunderstandings.

  • Respecting local business norms in procurement, hiring and procurement to build trust with partners and officials.

Sector-specific considerations and illustrative approaches

Different sectors require tailored strategies. The following highlights practical approaches for key sectors related to the BRI.

Transport and logistics

Transport projects favour operators that can integrate port terminals, rail operations and inland logistics with digital freight platforms, enabling end-to-end visibility and new service offerings such as just-in-time supply chains.

Energy and renewables

Energy projects should incorporate long-term power-purchase agreements, grid-integration studies and opportunities for hybrid renewable-plus-storage solutions to improve reliability and access green finance.

Industrial parks and manufacturing

Industrial-park developers should bundle utilities, customs facilitation and training services to attract anchor tenants and catalyse cluster development that sustains demand for logistics and professional services.

Dispute-avoidance and governance mechanisms

Robust governance reduces the probability of conflict. Clear decision-making frameworks, transparent procurement, and regular third-party audits can prevent disputes and maintain investor confidence.

Governance best practices

  • Independent audits and public reporting to demonstrate transparency to lenders and host-country stakeholders.

  • Joint governance boards for PPPs with representation from major stakeholders to oversee compliance and performance.

  • Regular risk reviews and contingency budgets to respond to unexpected shocks.

Scenario planning and stress testing

Executives should run scenario analyses that test outcomes under political disruption, commodity price shocks, currency swings and interest-rate movements. Sensitivity analysis of revenue streams—such as tolls, tariffs or lease rates—helps reveal break-even points and financing covenant risks.

War-gaming and contingency planning

War-gaming exercises involving senior management, local teams and external advisors can test crisis communication, evacuation plans, supply-chain rerouting and contract-enforcement options, improving organisational readiness.

Performance measurement and dashboards

Performance metrics should go beyond financial indicators to include operational reliability, ESG outcomes and strategic market development. Digital dashboards that aggregate key performance indicators enable timely decision-making.

Recommended KPIs

  • Financial: IRR, debt-service-coverage ratio (DSCR) and working-capital days.

  • Operational: schedule adherence, cost variance and asset availability.

  • ESG: emissions reductions, number of local hires trained and percentage of local procurement spend.

  • Strategic: pipeline value, percentage of projects cross-sold into adjacent services, and local market share growth.

Strategies adapted by different types of firms (extended guidance)

Firms of different sizes and ownership structures require tailored playbooks that reflect capital access, risk tolerance and strategic ambitions.

Large state-owned and listed companies

Large contractors and state-owned enterprises typically lead major infrastructure projects due to their balance-sheet strength and political backing. They should focus on robust governance frameworks to meet international partners’ standards and seek to develop integrated ecosystem plays—combining infrastructure, industrial parks and logistics services.

Private mid-sized firms

Mid-sized enterprises should specialise where they have unique technology, efficiency or service strengths, and position themselves as indispensable subcontractors or niche-service providers within consortia.

Small and medium enterprises (SMEs)

SMEs can capitalise by supplying components, offering digital or maintenance services, or by partnering with larger firms to access markets and finance. Establishing export-compliant manufacturing lines tailored for host-country standards can be a lower-capital route into BRI value chains.

Engagement with multilateral lenders and host governments

Collaboration with multilateral development banks and host governments can improve project bankability and provide technical assistance. Demonstrating development impact, sustainable design and community benefits increases eligibility for concessional finance and guarantees.

How to engage effectively

  • Prepare high-quality feasibility studies and environmental-and-social-impact assessments before funding discussions.

  • Design projects with measurable development outcomes that satisfy lenders’ additionality criteria.

  • Coordinate with government agencies early to align regulatory approvals and secure necessary permits.

Practical, tactical checklist for executives

This practical checklist helps executives move from strategy to implementation in a structured way.

  • Market selection: choose markets based on demand indicators, governance quality and proximity to existing value chains.

  • Project governance: set up dedicated project companies, clear reporting lines and independent audit functions.

  • Finance alignment: match funding tenor to asset life and secure hedges for currency exposures.

  • Local partnerships: identify credible local partners and agree governance, profit-sharing and exit clauses before bidding.

  • Compliance function: deploy local compliance officers and integrated anti-corruption training for all staff.

  • ESG integration: include environmental and social safeguards in the earliest design stages to access green finance.

  • Operational readiness: adopt digital project controls, modular construction where possible, and local training programs before mobilisation.

  • Contingency planning: establish war-game outcomes and emergency budgets for political, currency or supply shocks.

Metrics, reporting and investor communication

Clear, timely reporting builds investor confidence and supports refinancing or syndication. Monthly dashboards, quarterly compliance audits and annual impact reports tailored to lenders, investors and government partners are best practice.

Investor-focused disclosures

  • Financial performance: up-to-date cash-flow forecasts and covenant compliance statements.

  • ESG and social outcomes: progress against mitigation plans and community engagement outcomes.

  • Operational status: construction milestones, change-order logs and risk-mitigation activities.

Scenario: a practical illustration (hypothetical)

Consider a hypothetical Chinese mid-sized EPC contractor bidding for a 300 MW hybrid solar-plus-storage project in a coastal African country. The firm should:

  • Conduct an integrated feasibility study covering grid integration, land-use constraints and projected energy demand.

  • Structure finance with a mix of equity, a concessional loan from a policy bank and a commercial tranche, while securing a power-purchase agreement with a creditworthy off-taker.

  • Partner with local installers for civil works, set up a training academy for local technicians, and include performance guarantees backed by escrowed payments.

  • Embed ESG measures: biodiversity offsets, community benefit programs and a grievance mechanism to satisfy lender requirements and green-bond criteria.

By planning for these elements before bidding, the firm reduces execution risk, improves bankability and strengthens its competitive position.

Future trends to monitor and strategic implications

Several trends will influence future BRI opportunities and should shape strategic decisions today.

Green transformation and climate finance

Projects aligned to climate goals will gain priority access to sustainable finance, making it important for firms to design low-carbon solutions, demonstrate emissions accounting and secure green-certification where possible.

Data governance and sovereign digital strategies

Data policies will continue to vary widely; firms must design information architectures that respect local policies while enabling cross-border operations and service delivery.

Regional economic integration

Regional trade agreements and customs facilitation could create larger, integrated markets. Firms that build interoperable logistics and regulatory-compliance capabilities can capture trans-regional flows.

Localisation and shared value

Increasing emphasis on local jobs and technology transfer will benefit firms that embed capacity building, supplier development and vocational training into their commercial proposals.

Questions for executives and boards to consider

Boards and senior executives should use the following prompts to sharpen strategic and operational planning:

  • Which projects provide the best combination of long-term returns and strategic market access?

  • How will financing be structured to protect liquidity and match asset lifecycles?

  • What governance structures are required to meet international lenders’ expectations and local regulatory obligations?

  • How will the firm demonstrate credible ESG performance to access green finance and reduce reputational risk?

  • What contingency plans exist for sudden political change, currency restrictions or supply-chain disruptions?

Answering these questions before committing capital enables firms to prioritise projects that are both profitable and resilient, and helps maintain flexibility if conditions change.

By combining disciplined project selection, local partnerships, robust governance, and integrated ESG and digital strategies, Chinese firms can convert BRI prospects into sustainable growth while managing the multi-dimensional risks that cross-border infrastructure entails. Which market, sector or project phase is most relevant to the firm, and what specific capability should the firm prioritise first?

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